Check out the chart below and see if you can figure out what it is:
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Can't guess? It's a flipped chart of gold. Notice the clear parabolic action in the past few months. Today we got a panic $60 selloff in gold (rally in this chart). Either we get one more panic buying spree in gold to complete the parabola, or start a sharp downtrend. Regardless of the short term action, I think gold's days are numbered. I think we may be witnessing an irregular ABC flat correction, where Wave-B goes higher than the previous peak. In this case, we will see an extremely sharp counter-move which should break below the Wave-A low. I could see a drop to 600 in gold. This would be excellent to destroy the bullish sentiment that has developed on metals.
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Another reason why I'm bearish on gold is that many of the mining stocks are looking ultra-bearish. Take a look at ABX above. Even in the midst of nearly-1200 gold, ABX couldn't make a new high. Furthermore, it has carved out an extremely bearish ending-diagonal pattern. This foreshadows a drop to at least $25, but I would not be surprised to see a drop to $15.
3 comments:
man, i saw your post accidentally, you need to wake up
That's the kinda sentiment I'm looking for! Thanks for your comment!
LOL
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