4/12/2013

GLD correction nearly over

Gold made headlines today dropping about 6%. I think this drop is more of a stop-run then a breakout because it happened so rapidly and on massive volume. Gold has bounced off the $1,500 level for a couple years now so it makes sense that it would drop below this level to knock out the weak hands.

2013-04-12_gld_daily

From an Elliot Wave perspective, gold has been tracing out a nice 3-wave flat correction. Wave A is 3-waves, Wave B is 3-waves, and Wave C is 5-waves, making the drop to new lows appear as the start of a new downtrend. Furthermore, there is quite a bit of negative commentary about gold so we could be near a temporary low, and possibly a large swing low. Gold should recover and move back above $1,500 within the next month or two or else the downtrend could continue.

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